090 - Serologic Studies in Epidemic Influenza: With Particular Reference to the Persistence of Antibodies After Infection

Many virus infections seem to lead to long-term immunity, so you get it only once; at least, that's how it seemed. But one obvious exception is influenza, which you can get every year almost. Part of the reason for this is its ability to mutate frequently, becoming different enough each year that our immune system doesn't recognize it as well; but Fairbrother and Martin wondered whether this were really the whole story.

So they studied the antibody levels of people before and after an epidemic of flu and for about a year after. There were two kinds of tests they used: complement fixation, and neutralization where they mixed antibodies with virus and injected it into mice to see if they died.

As we saw before (O860), antibody levels seem to correlate with immunity, and definitely increase after infection. They saw the same thing here: after being infected in the epidemic, people's levels were much higher. For those that didn't get infected, levels were pretty variable, some high, some low.

But after about a year, antibodies in people who had been infected were much lower than they had been, nearly back to where they had been before the people were infected.

So it's possible that natural immunity to influenza wanes after a year, though that can't be concluded here because they didn't actually test immunity, only antibody levels.

Reference:

Fairbrother, R. W. & Martin, A. E. Serologic Studies in Epidemic Influenza: With Particular Reference to the Persistence of Antibodies After Infection. The Lancet 231, 718–720 (1938).